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This has been my experience with my Akubra Campdraft.....survives soakings with zero ill effects. It is the reason I purchased it as for the small $$$ it cost me thought it worth the risk. My new Stetson Stetsonian ended up with a wonky brim after just a slight dampening from a rain so I no longer wear that one in the rain.I agree 100%. If you know you're going to experience weather conditions that might somehow damage a vintage or otherwise hard to replace hat, wear a different hat or bring an umbrella. But rain is ultimately only water and as long as you treat your hat properly if/when it gets wet, i.e. set it aside and let it dry at room temperature, even a half-way decent fur felt hat should be just fine. Regarding wool felt hats, I've only owned really cheap ones that all shrunk in a relatively short period of time no matter what I did, so based on my experience I wouldn't recommend them. That being said...
I also agree with this 100%. I currently have six Akubra hats, have worn all of them in light to medium rain storms at one time or another, and they all survived just fine; if anything, the rain made them a little softer. But I have worn two of them in drenching downpours that soaked the felt thoroughly--Akubra has a reputation for durability, so I thought I'd put it to the test--and they also survived with no apparent ill effects. I have zero experience with modern production hats made by other manufacturers like Stetson so I don't know whether or not they would survive such a test (I suspect they would), but my Akubras have proven themselves to me. Here on The Lounge Akubra has it's devotees and detractors, but I think everyone who wears hats regularly should own at least one if for no other reason than to wear it as a dedicated "rain hat". And if it somehow gets damaged, unlike most vintage hats it can easily be replaced.