HudsonHawk
I'll Lock Up
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That was not the first thing. Castro did not turn to the Soviet Union until it was obvious the US was not going to recognize his government. There was a period of 4 or 5 months when the whole business was hanging fire.
But it's incredibly naïve to think that there would have been legitimate elections. Castro was a Marxist, who seized power in a military coup from someone who had seized power in a military coup and cancelled elections. Democracy was simply not a Castro's agenda.
President Truman blamed Eisenhower for dropping the ball. He should have contacted Castro at once, in Truman's opinion. This was written up in Plain Speaking by Merle Miller, Truman's memoir.
No doubt the ball was dropped, and has continued to be fumbled for 55 years. And no doubt the embargo and the US's reaction galvanized his regime to some extent. But I don't think it's fair to say it would have taken care of itself and Castro would have simply gone away in a few years.